Prediction and its limits

We have tried to predict the future since ancient times when shamans looked for patterns in smoking entrails. As this special section explores, prediction is now a developing science. Essays probe such questions as how to allocate limited resources, whether a country will descend into conflict, and who will likely win an election or publish a high-impact paper, as well as looking at how standards should develop in this emerging field.


Prediction and its limits
Barbara R. Jasny, Richard Stone
Science  03 Feb 2017:
Vol. 355, Issue 6324, pp. 468-469
DOI: 10.1126/science.355.6324.468